Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230759           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000974091           3          18          55          20           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.27884e-07           4          37          52           7           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.75       20.00       58.00       17.25        2.00     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5