Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231634           3          15          59          20           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000991362           3          13          62          18           4        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   2.26976e-07           4          39          52           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.50       16.75       59.50       18.00        3.25     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2