Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233475           3          16          60          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996854           2          13          63          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.56369e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.75       15.00       60.50       20.00        2.75     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0