Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238087           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104629           3          10          63          17           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   3.40769e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        5.00       70.00       18.25        4.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5