Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243282           1           0          66          29           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104409           3          11          62          16           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   5.81835e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       58.0000           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             1.50        7.25       65.75       21.50        4.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      X2.1