Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237067           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979703           4          15          55          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   4.69307e-07           2           1          76          20           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.00       12.75       63.75       17.25        3.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      X1.8