Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234228           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936304           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.94409e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.50       14.75       62.75       18.00        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7