Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241392           1           3          62          27           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103727           3          12          62          15           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   4.26337e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.00        9.00       67.25       18.25        4.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1