Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244651           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109257           4           3          72          20           1        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.75868e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50        5.50       66.00       24.75        1.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6