Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249656           3           2          64          24           7        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117596           1           1          65          30           3        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   5.74056e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        0.75       68.25       25.25        4.50     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.9