Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249878           3           2          66          22           7        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122755           1           2          63          31           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   5.04766e-07           2           1          63          33           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        1.25       65.25       27.75        4.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9