Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255666           1           3          63          32           1        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127579           2           0          64          30           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   6.18649e-07           1           0          64          31           4        C6.6
est. ISN   =       110.000           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.50        1.00       62.50       32.00        4.00     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2