Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252196           2           4          65          26           3        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126062           2           2          64          28           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   5.53340e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       124.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.50       63.25       29.75        4.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6