Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257566           1           2          61          35           1        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00131934           1           0          61          33           5        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   7.05310e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =       124.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        0.75       57.75       35.75        5.25     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.3