Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261184           1           2          59          35           3        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00134352           1           0          59          34           6        C7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.29822e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.5
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             0.75        1.00       58.75       34.00        5.50     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4