Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00268960           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143426           1           2          57          34           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   8.77899e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             0.50        1.00       59.25       33.50        5.75     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8