Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261425           1           1          60          34           4        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139401           1           1          59          33           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   6.78171e-07           1           0          57          37           5        C8.6
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             0.50        1.75       60.25       32.75        4.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5