Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00268502           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00141497           1           1          58          34           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   9.48665e-07           1           0          43          47           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.50        1.75       56.25       35.50        6.00     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8