Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00270128           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139215           1           1          60          32           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   1.13353e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.25        5.50       50.50       35.50        7.25     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9