Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00288866           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149763           1           3          64          29           3        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   2.04461e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             0.75        2.25       52.50       37.25        7.25     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M7.4