Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244191           1           1          62          35           1        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113288           1           4          64          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.54183e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             0.75        3.75       68.75       25.00        1.75     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4