Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242142           1           2          60          31           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110480           3           3          63          29           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.76406e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.25        3.00       64.75       27.50        3.50     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7