Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242655           1           0          63          31           5        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112643           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.63200e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        5.25       62.25       28.25        3.00     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0