Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251166           3           4          67          22           4        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123043           2           2          63          30           3        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   5.36969e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.75        1.75       64.25       28.25        4.00     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2