Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247688           1           2          53          37           7        C8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121478           1           3          63          31           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.45519e-07           1           1          83          14           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.00        1.75       64.25       29.00        4.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9