Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245784           1           3          58          37           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122254           1           3          61          32           3        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   3.80931e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             0.75        4.00       65.50       27.75        2.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6