Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247168           1           4          54          36           5        C7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121372           1           3          63          31           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.93006e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.25        3.00       61.75       31.50        2.50     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2