Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242733           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116523           1           2          65          28           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.94046e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.50        2.50       68.50       25.75        2.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9