Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241858           1           2          66          26           5        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114790           1           4          64          28           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   3.60124e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             1.75        6.75       66.00       23.00        2.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6