Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238830           2           3          69          20           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113087           1           5          61          30           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   2.82604e-07           3          27          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       14.00       64.00       16.50        3.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1