Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238901           2           4          69          19           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112951           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   2.88756e-07           2          23          67           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       13.50       64.50       17.75        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7