Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238675           2           4          72          16           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113923           1           4          64          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.78337e-07           3          30          60           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50       12.75       63.00       19.00        2.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5