Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239905           1           6          67          21           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114219           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.05129e-07           4          12          75           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.25        5.75       68.00       21.75        3.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1