Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243466           1           0          66          30           3        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118854           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.03991e-07           1           2          77          19           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.25        1.00       65.25       29.75        3.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2