Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244417           1           2          60          36           1        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121548           1           3          62          31           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   3.65779e-07           2           6          76          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       119.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        3.00       62.50       31.00        2.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3