Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248940           2           3          59          28           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124646           2           2          66          26           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.31223e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.25        2.00       67.50       24.75        4.50     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0