Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254551           1           4          65          30           0        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130824           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.53070e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =       108.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.50        1.25       64.75       29.75        3.75     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3