Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00270647           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00141972           1           1          56          36           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.43298e-07           1           0          43          47           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       123.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        0.75       51.75       39.75        7.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1