Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00267033           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142406           1           2          58          33           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   7.72608e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =       109.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.25        1.00       56.50       35.50        6.75     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0