Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00276901           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00152488           1           3          69          25           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   9.21821e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       136.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       55.50       36.50        6.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3