Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00274137           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00150065           1           3          67          27           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   8.86842e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       122.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.25       56.00       37.25        5.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3