Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261239           1           1          59          36           3        C7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00137419           1           1          60          32           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.73196e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             0.50        1.00       61.75       31.75        5.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5