Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252050           2           4          66          25           3        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127743           1           0          64          31           4        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   4.98887e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        1.25       66.75       27.50        3.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)