Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247244           1           4          53          37           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122396           1           3          63          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.44041e-07           1           1          82          15           1        C3.7
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        4.25       64.25       27.50        3.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7