Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245057           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118431           1           1          64          31           3        C5.7
GOES Xray  =   4.26898e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.50        3.00       64.50       29.50        2.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2