Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245900           1           3          57          37           2        C6.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118800           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.49000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        4.00       65.50       26.50        2.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6