Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246915           1           4          53          37           5        C7.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119176           1           1          63          33           2        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   4.72110e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        2.50       62.75       30.75        3.00     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7