Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241658           1           3          65          25           6        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113607           1           4          64          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.01917e-07           1           2          78          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             0.75        4.75       69.25       22.50        2.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0