Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242580           1           0          63          30           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114971           1           3          66          26           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.01736e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.50        3.25       65.25       27.25        3.75     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4