Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00266221           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00140304           1           1          60          32           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   9.08926e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             0.75        0.75       59.25       33.25        6.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M4.3